Human Dynamics

Collective response of human populations to large-scale emergencies

Despite recent advances in uncovering the quantitative features of stationary human activity patterns, many applications,from pandemic prediction to emergency response, require an understanding of how these patterns change when thepopulation encounters unfamiliar conditions. To explore societal response to external perturbations we identified real-timechanges in communication and mobility patterns in the vicinity of eight emergencies, such as bomb attacks andearthquakes, comparing these with eight non-emergencies, like concerts and sporting events. We find that communicationspikes accompanying emergencies are both spatially and temporally localized, but information about emergencies spreadsglobally, resulting in communication avalanches that engage in a significant manner the social network of eyewitnesses.These results offer a quantitative view of behavioral changes in human activity under extreme conditions, with potentiallong-term impact on emergency detection and response.


More publications
J. P. Onnela, S. Arbesman, M. C. Gonzalez, A.-L. Barabasi, N. A. Christakis

PLoS One 6:4, 1-7 (2011)

Y.-Y. Liu, J.-J. Slotine, A.-L. Barabási

Nature 473, 167-173 (2011)

M. Vidal, M. E. Cusick, A.-L. Barabasi

Cell 144, 986-995 (2011)